Sunday, November 02, 2008

Predictions

The pundits pick Obama to win. His various electoral votes:

Democrats:
Arianna Huffington: 318
Paul Begala: 325
Hilary Rosen: 333
Donna Brazile: 343
Eleanor Clift: 349
James Carville: 365
Democratic Average: 338.8

Republicans:
Alex Castellanos: 318
Matthew Dowd: 338
Ed Rollins: 352
George Will: 378
Republican Average: 346.5

Media
Chris Cillizza, Washington Post: 312
Craig Crawford, Congressional Quarterly: 333
David Gergen, CNN: 338
Mark Halperin, Time Magazine: 349
George Stephanopoulos, ABC: 353
Larry Sabato, UVA: 364
Media Average: 341.5

Source

Republican pundits pick the largest victory! I hope George Will is right.

I wish this made me confident. I've seen too many "sure things" not end up sure at all. For me, it's still a nail-biter.

1 comment:

Andrew klaus-Vineyard said...

I think this is the most nail biting election I personally remember, after the absurdities of the Gore Vs Bush election I take nothing for granted or chance. I'm not sleeping that night until I hear McCain's concession speech.