Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Popular vote

RCP gives six ways to compute the popular vote. 3 ways go to Obama, 3 to Clinton. I like everyone being counted or estimated, which gives O +61,703 but it's fairer to say it was damn close and, given the lack of concrete numbers for caucus states, we'll never know. What we do know (or at least everyone but HC and her most diehard supporters) is that O won the delegate count easily and is the nominee.

The O figures are listed first below.

Popular Vote Total 17,535,458 48.1% 17,493,836 48.0% Obama +41,622 +0.1%

Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* 17,869,542 48.2% 17,717,698 47.8% Obama +151,844 +0.4%

Popular Vote (w/MI) 17,535,458 47.4% 17,822,145 48.1% Clinton +286,687 +0.8%

Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* 17,869,542 47.4% 18,046,007 47.9% Clinton +176,465 +0.5%

Popular Vote (w/MI
Uncommitted to Obama)** 17,773,626 48.0% 17,822,145 48.1% Clinton +48,519 +0.1%

Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* 18,107,710 48.1% 18,046,007 47.9% Obama +61,703 +0.2%

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